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Chancellor Faces Bond Market Chaos After Watchdog Accidentally Publishes Budget Hour Early

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Rachel Reeves confronted an embarrassing crisis when the Office for Budget Responsibility prematurely released her entire budget document, exposing £26 billion in planned tax increases before she could present them to Parliament. The “technical error” prompted immediate market reactions and fierce criticism from opposition politicians, with some suggesting the leak might constitute a criminal offense requiring investigation.

The chancellor proceeded with her Commons address despite the disruption, presenting a comprehensive fiscal plan designed to stabilize government finances while protecting household budgets. Reeves argued that her approach strikes the right balance between necessary revenue increases and targeted spending to support families facing persistent inflation. She characterized the budget as putting Britain on a sustainable economic path after years of fiscal mismanagement.

Central to the political narrative is the government’s decision to eliminate the two-child benefit restriction, a policy that has drawn intense criticism from anti-poverty campaigners and Labour’s own MPs. The change will lift hundreds of thousands of children out of deprivation and represents the most significant poverty reduction effort in parliamentary history. This move demonstrates Keir Starmer’s government responding to internal pressure while maintaining its broader fiscal discipline.

The tax-raising agenda focuses substantially on personal income, with an extended freeze on tax thresholds serving as the primary revenue generator at £15 billion. Additional funds will come from limiting pension tax relief, increasing levies on gambling activities, implementing per-mile charges for electric vehicles, and introducing premium rates for high-value properties. These combined measures not only eliminate the £4 billion fiscal gap but create substantial headroom of £22 billion against government borrowing rules.

Reeves emphasized the cost-saving elements of her budget, highlighting reductions in energy expenses, frozen transportation costs, and maintained prescription prices that collectively should reduce inflation by 0.3 percentage points. With inflation currently at 3.6%—exceeding the 2% target and leading the G7—these interventions aim to ease immediate pressures on families. Nevertheless, economic forecasts show slower growth ahead, with 2026 expectations reduced to 1.4%, while government borrowing is projected to fall significantly from 4.5% to 1.9% of GDP by decade’s end.

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